State-by-state Analysis
Alabama - 9 electoral votes
Solidly Bush in 2000, solidly Bush in 2004.
Alaska - 3
Solidly Bush in 2000, solidly Bush in 2004.
Arkansas - 6
A solid Bush win. Arizona - 10
Bush again.
California - 55
Only in play if Kerry totally dissolves; Kerry's to lose. Colorado - 9
Bush wins.
Connecticut - 7
Kerry in 2004.
District of Columbia - 3
Kerry of course. Delaware - 3
Kerry
Georgia - 15
Solidly Bush in 2004.
Florida - 27
Bush by a comfortable margin--not like 2000.
Bush by 6-9% Hawaii - 4
Kerry. Idaho - 4
Solidly Bush in 2004.
Illinois - 21
Kerry. Indiana - 11
Solidly Bush in 2004.
Iowa - 7
Bush by a hair. Kansas - 6
Solidly Bush in 2004.
Kentucky - 8
Solidly Bush in 2004.
Louisiana - 9
Bush.
Maine-4 Kerry by a hair. Maryland - 10
Kerry Massachusetts - 12
Solidly Kerry in 2004.
Michigan - 17
Bush by a hair. Minnesota - 10
Bush by a hair. Mississippi - 6
Solidly Bush in 2004.
Missouri - 11
Bush by a comfortable margin.
Montana - 3
Solidly Bush in 2004.
Nebraska - 5
Solidly Bush in 2004.
Nevada - 5 Bush by a small margin. New Hampshire - 4
Kerry by a hair, sadly. New Jersey - 15
Kerry by a small margin. New Mexico - 5
Bush by a small margin. New York - 31 Kerry here by less than 10%.
North Carolina - 15
This is still Bush country.
North Dakota - 3
Solidly Bush in 2004.
Ohio - 20
Bush by a comfortbale margin. Oklahoma - 7
Solidly Bush in 2004.
Oregon - 7
A tough call. Cross my fingers and say Bush by a tiny margin. Pennsylvania - 21
Bush!
Rhode Island - 4
Solidly Kerry in 2004.
South Carolina - 8
Solidly Bush in 2004. Edwards won't be a factor.
South Dakota - 3
Solidly Bush in 2000, solidly Bush in 2004.
Tennessee - 11
The absence of the native will result in a normal double-digit southern victory for Bush.
Texas - 34
Solidly Bush in 2004.
Utah - 5
Solidly Bush in 2004.
Vermont - 3
Kerry country. Virginia - 13
Bush country. Washington - 11
Kerry. West Virginia - 5
Bush will win here again.
Wisconsin - 10
Bush by a small margin.
Wyoming - 3
Solidly Bush in 2004.
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